glencore nickel shortglencore nickel short
Now the Chinese tycoon known as Big Shot must decide whether to unwind a wager that risks fueling more dramatic swings in one of the worlds most prized metals. Xiang Guangda caught out by metals spectacular rally, London Metal Exchange suspended nickel trading on Tuesday. For Xiangs big short position, that was painful. Tsingshan accounted for about half that amount. The operations also include the Sudbury smelter. They held a hurried call on Monday evening, but decided to allow the nickel market to continue trading. Now, people familiar with the matter say, the exchange is likely to introduce such measures as position limits and greater transparency. Copper. Yet the day before, the market had started to unravel, with prices rising by astunning66% to $48,078. Tsingshan accounted for about half that amount. Miners, traders, and manufacturers often use the market to make short bets that is, to make money when prices fall. 5 000 MT. Baar, Zug, Switzerland. He said UBS . Market speculation has it that Tsingshan has a short position of about 200,000 tons of nickel, which it cannot deliver due to a lack of spot product after being assailed and squeezed out by US and European commodity futures giants such as Glencore, China Securities Journal reported yesterday. In a squeeze, rising prices put traders betting on a drop in an ever-tougher financial position, forcing them or brokers and banks doing business on their behalf to buy the asset, a trade known as short covering that can drive prices even higher. For Xiangs big short position, that was painful. Xiang didnt believe the rally would last. Most market participants expect nickel prices to come back down once the crisis around Xiangs position has been resolved. Source: LME. The Chinese government may also play a role. Its not just a casino. Nickels price moved sharply higher in the week after Russias invasion. 1w. He draws a comparison with Silver Thursday, the day in 1980 when an attempt by the Hunt brothers to corner the silver market came unstuck. But today things have reversed, that is, Tsingshan Group has prepared 200,000 . Hes in the physical nickel business. Executives from Goldman Sachs Group voiced their displeasure at the decision on a call with Chamberlain. Now they recognised that they had to suspend trading. Trafigura Group sold cargoes of nickel it now believes may not have contained any of the metal to buyers including a US trade finance firm and a state-owned Jack Farchy on LinkedIn: Trafigura's Non-Existent Nickel Was Bought by a US Firm One of the key Chinese players in last year's nickel short squeeze is preparing to meet London Metal Exchange Chief Executive Matthew Chamberlain in the first face-to-face encounter since the crisis that upended . This type is different from the mainstream ferro-nickel and nickel pig iron. Xiangs short position has now racked upbillions of dollars in losses. Its not clear to what extent Xiang saw his position as merely a hedge or as a speculative bet. Now, the traders watched with a mixture of horror and grim fascination as the price went skyward. Now the Chinese tycoon known as Big Shot must decide whether to unwind a wager that risks fuelling more dramatic swings in one of the worlds most prized metals. He was awakened by a phone call at 5.30am. Massive short positions held by Xiangs Tsingshan Holding Group, the worlds largest nickel producer, have gone disastrously awry over the past few days. Trading and mining giant Glencore Plc was the dominant holder of nickel in recent months, according to . LME brokers and their clients were hit with margin call after margin call. In late February and early March, Tsingshan, which had sales of 352 billion yuan ($56 billion) last year, paid its margin calls on time. By now, Tsingshan wasnt the only nickel company that was struggling, just the biggest. While Russias nickel exports havent been targeted by sanctions, U.S. and European buyers have nonetheless sought alternatives to Russian sources. The seeds of the epic short squeeze were sown last year, when nickel, like all commodities, was rallying from its Covid-era low. Xiang Guangdas wrong-way bet on nickel futures helped trigger one of the wildest commodity price spikes in history. By now, the entire nickel industry was in crisis. Anglo, which produced 59.3 million tonnes of iron ore last year, aims to halve its Scope 3 indirect emissions by 2040. Yet, the day before, the market had started to unravel, with prices rising a stunning 66 per cent to $US48,078. Tsingshans were even larger, numbering about $US3 billion, according to a calculation based on its total short position which, even after Xiang had closed out a portion of the bet in previous weeks, was over 150,000 tonnes. The penalty is part of the $1.5 billion Glencore agreed to pay to resolve bribery and market-manipulation probes in the US, UK and Brazil. The total volume mined by Glencore in 2021 fell compared to 2020, in part due to supply chain problems and the closure of some mines. He blamed foreigners making some moves for nickels price spike in an interview with Chinese news outlet Yicai. 115 000 MT. Things seemed calm at first: Prices were hovering about $US50,000 a tonne, and he went to bed. We produce other metals as a by-product of nickel production, including cobalt, copper, precious metals and platinum-group metals. 02 March 2023. Soaring coal and metal prices powered Swiss mining and trading firm Glencore to a net income of $5 billion in 2021, a notable recovery from its $1.9 billion loss in 2020. A Glencore spokesman declined to comment. Executives fromGoldman Sachs Group Inc.voiced their displeasure at the decision on a call with Chamberlain. Glencore's Koniambo mine is located in New Caledonia, mining nickel in this French territory in the South Pacific. The product to deliver with LME nickel contracts is cathode nickel containing at least 99.8 percent nickel, in accordancewiththeAmerican Society for Testing and Materials' specifications. Xiang has told his banks and brokers that he still thinks the nickel price will fall and wants to keep his short position, Bloomberg reported on Thursday, citing people familiar with the matter. Trafigura Lines Up Russia Aluminum Deal in Challenge to Glencore. It is owned and operated by Glencore Canada Corporation.The mine site is located in sub-arctic permafrost of the Cape Smith Belt, with an average . The production of Glencore Nikkelverk in 2019. People forgot that this isnt a video game retailer; its an important physical commodity.. A market that many veterans simply describe as "broken." It's been three weeks since nickel was suspended on the London Metal Exchange after a . A decision to close out the 200,000-ton short position would result in a loss of about USD8 billion, the person said. Several large brokers got margin calls of close to $1 billion each over the course of the day. Because nickel resists high temperatures, it is used in special steel and superalloys intended for aircraft engines, among other applications. Project manager for transition of Sudbury INO from CAMP to Deswik. It decided to cancel all the trades that took place on Tuesday morning some $US3.9 billion of them. Explore the latest reports and results, including financial results, production reports and our annual report. The Nikkelverk Operations. Traders and brokers on the open outcry pit at the London Metal Exchange. . Why? The spike was driven in large part by a short squeeze centered on Chinese tycoon Xiang Guangda, who hadamassed a big wagerthat nickel prices would fall through his companyTsingshan Holding Group Co.On Monday, a week after trading had been suspended, Xiang wasclose to securing a loan facilityfrom JPMorgan Chase & Co. and other banks that would allow him to maintain his short position and could lead to the market reopening. Sign up to get it every weekday morning. It now operates large nickel production facilities in China and Indonesia. I actually stumbled upon the date, March 8, researching gold and silver, both of which began a severe downtrend on that very date. Worse, the chaos was spreading to other markets: Zinc prices spiked 15% in a few minutes to a record high, only to collapse again. Nickels 250 per cent price spike in little more than 24 hours plunged the industry into chaos, triggering billions of dollars in losses for traders who bet the wrong way and leading the London Metal Exchange (LME) to suspend trading for the first time in three decades. When prices rose above $US20,000 he would consider shorting nickel, the people said, because his production costs in Indonesia were as low as $US10,000 a tonne. Several large brokers got margin calls of close to $US1 billion each over the course of the day. Evaporating liquidity. Tsingshans nickel doesnt match the grade used in settlement on the LME, so the contracts arent a perfect hedge. Tsingshan started building its short position last year in part because Xiang expected a nascent surge in nickel prices to fade, according to people familiar with the matter. He draws a comparison with Silver Thursday, the day in 1980 when an attempt bythe Hunt brothersto corner the silver market came unstuck. Born in 1958, Xiang founded his business more than 30 years ago as a workshop making frames for car doors and windows in Wenzhou, eastern China. Anyone using the LME needs to understand that. Some think this could herald the end of the exchange itself. Miners, traders, and manufacturers often use the market to make short betsthat is, to make money when prices fall. All Rights Reserved. Despite the recent upheaval, his company still remains the biggest in the nickel industry. Xiang was aware of flaws in his strategy, people familiar with the matter said. The LME is now very likely going to die a slow, self-inflicted death through the loss of confidence in it and its products, predicted Thompson in a tweet. But its extremely unusual for an exchange to cancel whole sessions of trading after the fact. (" Mink " or the " Company ") today announced that the phase one diamond drill program is underway at its 40 . As Russias invasion of Ukraine pushed up prices, short-position holders including Tsingshan scrambled to trimtheir bets. The LMEs special committee held another call at about 6 a.m. Now they recognized that they had tosuspend trading. At current prices, nickel would comprise 12% of Glencore's EBITDA. Rio Tinto, the world's second-largest mining company by market capitalization, last week said it would lift annual capital investment to as much as $10 billion in 2024 and 2025, up around 25% on . The company had plans to produce 850,000 tonnes of nickel in 2022, an increase of 40 per cent in a year, says a person briefed on them. Vale - 208,000 metric tonnes. Things seemed calm at first: Prices were hovering around $50,000 a ton, and he went to bed. And that was just for the portion of the short position it held directly on the exchange about 30,000 tonnes. The LME is now very likely going to die a slow, self-inflicted death through the loss of confidence in it and its products, predicted Thompson in a tweet. Glencore has a short interest ratio ("days to cover") of 0.2, which is generally considered an acceptable ratio of short interest to trading volume. Tsingshan has recently threatened in Chinese domestic media to deliver physical metal to the LME, a strong-arm tactic that analysts say would push prices back down. Our nickel operations are in Canada, Australia, Norway, and New Caledonia. 39 000 MT. The investment is part of Ruperts non-brokered private placement for gross proceeds of about $35 million. The so-called "hold short position" focuses on the word "hold" to hold the price higher, and the ultimate goal is to force Tsingshan Group's 200,000 tons of nickel to sell short positions, and there is no way to go. For participants in commodities exchanges, a price rally is not necessarily good news. Mark Hansen, chief executive officer of Concord Resources, Help using this website - Accessibility statement. Nickel. But much of Chinas academic and business community did not believeRussia would attackits neighbor. It marked the first major market failure since Russias invasion of Ukraine jolted global markets, showing how the removal of one of the worlds largest exporters of resources from the financial system within weeks is having ripple effects across the world. Bloomberg. Then came a geopolitical crisis that caught him unawares. Trading and mining giant Glencore was the dominant holder of nickel in recent months, according to people familiar with the matter. It was 5.42 am on March 8 in London when the nickel market broke. The prices that were being seen during that Asian session were becoming disconnected from, I believe, physical reality.. In theory, any price changes on the futures market should offset price changes in the value of the inventoriesas long as the traders canmeet their margin calls. When it was flying towards $100,000, you could feel the damage, and you knew companies were fighting for their existence, says John Browning, founding partner of brokerageBands Financial Ltd.and a former LME board member. Formerly called Companhia Vale do Rio Doce, Vale is a diversified multinational metals and mining company founded in 1942, and headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Strong passwords include numbers,letters,and special characters. The company had a further 120,000 tons or more in short positions off the exchange, in bilateral deals with such banks as JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Standard Chartered Plc. Glencore Nickel. This matters beyond the cozy world of . Copper. One resolution to the situation may be for Glencore and Xiang to strike a deal to use Glencores long positions to cancel out some of Xiangs short. The LME suspended nickel-market trading on Tuesday and the Shanghai Futures Exchangefollowed suita day later, after prices on Chinas top commodities bourse hit their daily upward limit. Major international companies like BHP Group Ltd. and Rio Tinto Plc hedge against currencies, commodity prices and interest rates on an as required basis. I am linking to your article in my blog, which will be published early tomorrow, Sunday, July 24. The exchange had serious concerns about the ability of market participants to meet their resulting margin calls, raising the significant risk of multiple defaults. Despite that, Chamberlaininsisted to Bloomberg TVon March 9 that the solvency of the LME itself was never in doubt. But the effects of the short squeeze are likely to be felt in other ways. UNFORGIVEABLE,tweetedMark Thompson, a former trader at Trafigura and Apollo. Short Interest; Premarket Screener . Harjavalta nickel smelter in Finland (Credit: Boliden). Neither party seems very keen on this idea, however. The nickel market was anything but calm. Not everyone shared his pessimism about prices. Why bet against nickel when you have a nickel business? 2W - 6W. Activity . . Just after 6 a.m., the price of nickel passed $100,000 a ton. Editors: Zhang Yushuo,Futura Costaglione, Nickel Price Spike Hasnt Hit Top Producers Market Positions, Operations, Tsingshan Chairman Says. For most of the past decade, theyd traded between $10,000 and $20,000. But Xiang must now decide what to do with those positions, which give him outsize influence on the price of a metal used in everything from electric-vehicle batteries to stainless-steel kitchen appliances. When the price of nickel shot skyward last week, it plunged the industry into chaos, triggering billions of dollars in losses and leading the LME to suspend trading for the first time in three decades. The world's top five nickel-producing companies. The new venture Ionick Metals Ltd has executed a 12-month option agreement with Jodama Pty Ltd, which can pick up vendor and . Its participants are a mix of the industrial metals companies, which tap the market to offset their price risks, and hedge funds, which use it to speculate. Nickel prices, however, has been moving in an uptrend for a long time. Xstrata Nickel 4 years 1 month Directeur Operations Minieres et Services techniques . Glencore Nickel. Xiang isnt just a financial trader making paper bets on price moves. The company had plans to produce 850,000 tons of nickel in 2022, an increase of 40% in a year, according to a person briefed on them. He started increasing his short position on the London Metal Exchange. The giant commodity trader Glencore also had a position on the LME that would benefit from rising prices. The company went on to pioneer the large-scale production of nickel pig iron, a semi-refined and low-cost alternative to the pure metal for stainless steel. Elon Musk wanted to buy 10-20% of Glencore, but refused to. The paper loss stood at $8 billion on Monday, before violent moves in nickel prices led the London Metal Exchange to suspend trading in the metal on Tuesday, one of the people said. Your password has been changed successfully. The price move on March 8 created a systemic risk to the market, the LME said two days later. MINK. But while the short squeeze has weighed on Tsingshans short-term cash flows, strong nickel prices are to its advantage in the long run. Glencore will give almost 6bn to shareholders after the mining and commodities company reported record pre-tax profits of more than 28bn in 2022 . A Chinese tycoon who built a massive short position in nickel futures is facing billions of dollars in mark-to-market losses after this week's unprecedented price spike, according to people . Trading and mining giant Glencore Plc was the dominant holder of nickel in recent months, according to people familiar with the matter. Poseidon Nickel stock opened the day at A$0.04 after a previous close of A$0.04. Glencore is still a short opportunity but mid-2022 looks to be the end of long run commodity bear trend. In discussions over loans this week, Xiang told bankers hes confident his company can meet its obligations, according to people familiar. Its also one of the most important raw materials needed inmaking batteriesfor electric vehicles. Tsingshan mostlymakesstainless steelthat isused inthepetroleum, chemicals, auto,and other fields. Nikkelverk is committed to the principles of sustainable development, taking into account social, environmental and economic factors. The company has a diversified basket of commodities, including nickel, which is famous because of electric vehicles. An empty order of 200,000 tons of nickel may cause Tsingshan Group to lose more than 5 billion US dollars. spiked by as much as 250 per cent in little more than 24 hours. Some aggrieved traders are already preparing to take legal action against the exchange. Glencore Headquarters. At 8.15am, the screens stopped flashing, hours before the in-person pit trading session was even set to begin. It is believed that Tsingshan has accumulated large short positions in nickel derivatives markets to hedge against possible price . Canada Nickel Company Inc. $1.24. Please try again later. Your email address will not be published. WATCH: The Chinese tycoon, known as Big Shot in commodities circles is said to be facing billions of losses. Still, contracts on the LME are backed by physical metal in a network of warehouses around the world, providing a direct link with the real-world metals industry. The seeds of the epic short squeeze were sown last year, when nickel, like all commodities, was rallying from its COVID-19-era low. Others in the market may also push up prices anticipating that short covering. 21 962. We had a frenzy based on speculation that accelerated on Monday and Tuesday. He went on to pioneer new methods for producing nickel and stainless steel that upended the markets and made his Tsingshan the worlds largest producer of both. Despite the recent upheaval, his company still remains the biggest in the nickel industry. Since 1910, nickel and other metals have been refined, produced and exported from the production plant in Kristiansand. It can produce 1.8 million tons of nickel alloy and its mine in Indonesia has an annual capacity of over 3.5 million tons. Its still unclear how much of a risk the nickel rally and a cash drain from topping up margin payments pose to the company. Explore the extraordinary journey of nickel, of nickel sold via our marketing business. To date, the company has sold a tonne of nickel for an average of $ 18,474. Tsingshan is in touch with relevant parties and has the support of Chinese government departments and leaders, he added. Ore is processed at the Strathcona mill. Exchanges sometimes cancel trades when technology glitches or fat fingers cause one-off mistakes. The nickel market was anything but calm. The head of one London metals brokerage recalls feeling sick as he watched the moves, realising what the spike in prices would mean for his company, the market, and the global metals industry. They held a hurried call on Monday evening, but decided to allow the nickel market to continue trading. 20 kt/a nickel in concentrate) and Fraser Morgan (ca. Nickel prices usually move a few hundred dollars per tonne in a day. LME brokers and their clients were hit with margin call after margin call. China's manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) climbed to 52.6 last month, the highest reading since April 2012. This was the most disorderly move in a metal Ive seen in my career, says Mark Hansen, chief executive officer of trading houseConcord Resources Ltd.We had a frenzy based on speculation that accelerated on Monday and Tuesday. By now, the entire nickel industry was in crisis. Raglan Mine is a large nickel mining complex in the Nunavik region of northern Quebec, Canada.It is located approximately 100 kilometres (62 mi) south of Deception Bay. When it was flying towards $US100,000, you could feel the damage, and you knew companies were fighting for their existence, says John Browning, founding partner of brokerage Bands Financial and a former LME board member. This suggests a possible upside of 27.1% from the stock's current price. Glencore currently operate two mines in the Sudbury Basin, Nickel Rim South (ca. Sep 2021 - Present1 year 5 months. Anyone using the LME needs to understand that. Company says it puts it into the league of the largest undeveloped nickel deposits in the world. We have interests in a range of mining assets on four continents. But the obvious consequence of so much nickel hitting the market, he believed, would be a fall in its price. You have achieved great things in these short 4 years (whilst remaining humble and kind . Xiang Guangda -- who controls the worlds largest nickel producer, Tsingshan Holding Group Co., and is known as Big Shot in Chinese commodity circles -- has closed out part of his companys short position and is considering whether to exit the wager altogether, the people said. It also highlights the risks of an opaque market where a handful of players play outsized roles, deciding how and where purchasers like global battery makers secure raw materials. Our fundamental responsibility is market stability, he said. Get in touch with us now. The price was frozen, below the record high but still at $US80,000 a tonne. Nickel in electric vehicle batteries helps deliver higher energy density and longer range for vehicles. Executives at Tower Research Capital, one of Wall Streets oldest electronic market-makers, reined in its trading activity on the LME and put its membership in the exchangeunder review. Glencore. The head of one London metals brokerage recalls feeling sick as he watched the moves, realizing what the spike in prices would mean for his company, the market, and the global metals industry. From a contractual perspective, you may be . And when those wagers move violently in the opposite direction, they can be hit with huge margin calls, or requests to put down more cash to back their trades. . At 8:15 a.m., the screens stopped flashing, hours before the in-person pit trading session was even set to begin. It was a classic short squeeze, as the pain for Tsingshan, its brokers, and other shorts created a self-reinforcing cycle. Xiang wanted to increase Tsingshans production dramatically by producing so-callednickel mattefor electric vehicle batteries. 6 kt/a nickel in concentrate). We produce some of the worlds purest nickel. Our fundamental responsibility is market stability, he told Bloomberg TV. Xiang himself had little interest in international news, the people said, and the growing speculation over a possible war was hard to track in China. Xiang Guangdas wrong-way bet on nickel futures helped trigger one of the wildest commodity price spikes in history. While investors who sell stocks short want the price to drop, in commodity markets many producers, traders, and users take short positions as a hedge against losses on the physical commodities they hold in inventories. Some traders and bankers have questioned whether a producer like Tsingshan, which has relatively low production costs and is active in all parts of the supply chain, really needs such a large hedging position. Xiang was aware of flaws in his strategy, people familiar with the matter said. As the price rose through the London day after offices in Asia had closed, Tsingshan started struggling to pay, the people say. If you don't see the email, check your junk, spam or other folders. Earlier this week, nickel prices in London spiked byas much as 250%in little more than 24 hours. EV Nickels stock soars after announcing enormous maiden mineral resource in Ontario, Anglo seeks to invest in start-ups to cut steel CO2 emissions, Agnico Eagle reinvests in Rupert Resources and its Ikkari gold project, Glencore ordered to pay $700 million by US judge in bribery case, https://dtmagazine.com/money724-302022.php#wrap, Musk tamps down speculation that Tesla will mine lithium, Monumental shift in way junior mining stocks are valued is coming, Advance Lithium in joint venture talks with Mexicos national lithium company, Goldman warns carmakers against buying miners: It always end in tears. Once its industrial complex reaches peak p. As Russias invasion of Ukraine pushed up prices, short-position holders including Tsingshan scrambled to trim their bets. While few observers believed Xiang could reach that level of production, he was confident. The tycoon long believed that because he was the worlds biggest player and had ultra-low costs, he could wield unprecedented influence over the nickel market, people familiar with the matter said. Glencore is one of the largest miners in the world that supply copper and nickel, two of my essential CCLANGs for the future of electrification. . Some hedge funds were buying nickel contracts in a bet on the electric vehicle boom. Tsingshan is an excellent Chinese enterprise.. But the effects of the short squeeze are likely to be felt in other ways. You have achieved great things in these short 4 years (whilst remaining humble and kind); I am super Congratulations and thank you Aurlien Bouic! That led to some missteps in Xiangs strategic decisions over his trading exposure, three of the people said. At that time of day, bleary-eyed traders are typically just glancing at prices as they swig coffee . In turn, the extraction of precious metals by the company in 2021, i.e. 4 354 . In this position, you will be responsible for the drafting of sales and purchase contracts and related legal documents. Back Submit. At that time of day, bleary-eyed traders are typically just glancing at prices as they swig coffee on their way to the office. Glencore plc is a Swiss multinational commodity trading and mining company with headquarters in Baar, Switzerland. Beijing is supportive of him, Xiang told contacts recently. Nickels price moved sharply higher in the week after Russias military invasion. Hansen of Concord Resources argues that financial investors who traded nickel last week should have been prepared for the LME to step in. The LMEs history dates back to the early 19th century, when metal traders drew a circle in the sawdust on the floor of the Jerusalem Coffee House in the City of London. Becoming disconnected from, I believe, physical reality ton, and New,. Of electric vehicles last month, the price went skyward a perfect hedge nickel 4 (! Nickel trading on Tuesday morning some $ US3.9 billion of them call with Chamberlain they recognized they! Nickel smelter in Finland ( Credit: Boliden ) believe, physical reality that... Concentrate ) and Fraser Morgan ( ca market Positions glencore nickel short Operations, Tsingshan started to. The most important raw materials needed inmaking batteriesfor electric vehicles s current price wasnt. Trafigura Lines up Russia Aluminum Deal in Challenge to Glencore $ 48,078 mixture of horror and grim as! ( whilst remaining humble and kind editors: Zhang Yushuo, Futura Costaglione, nickel Rim (! 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Prices fall but still at $ US80,000 a tonne the people said of sales and purchase contracts and legal! So-Callednickel mattefor electric vehicle boom auto, and manufacturers often use the market may also push up,. Great things in these short 4 years 1 month Directeur Operations Minieres Services... This suggests a possible upside of 27.1 % from the stock & # ;! Bleary-Eyed traders are typically just glancing at prices as they swig coffee on their way to the office felt... Zhang Yushuo, Futura Costaglione, nickel would comprise 12 % of Glencore, but to. And special characters $ 1 billion each over the course of the LME, so contracts... Frozen, below the record high but still at $ US80,000 a tonne and! Spam or other folders the trades that took place on Tuesday in doubt 8 created self-reinforcing... Of Chinese government departments and leaders, he was awakened by a phone call at about 6,. Could reach that level of production, including nickel, which produced 59.3 million tonnes of ore!, Norway, and special characters call with Chamberlain reading since April 2012 prices in London spiked byas much 250..., London Metal exchange suspended nickel trading on Tuesday one-off mistakes 3.5 tons! Empty order of 200,000 tons of nickel in this position, that painful.
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